How to Win at Online Casinos Every Time

I shouldn’t generalize, but the truth is, most of the people who want to learn how to win at online casinos every time really mean that they want to learn how to win at slot machines every time.

The first step in learning how to win at any casino game, though, is learning how to pick the right casino game.

Here’s the reality of winning at online casinos every time, though:

The only real way to win at online casinos is to manage your expectations, only gamble with money you can afford to lose, and treat online gambling as an entertainment expense. Even though most online casinos don’t cheat, and most online casino games are random, they still have an unbeatable house edge that can’t be overcome in the long run.

Realistically, you can only win at online casinos SOME of the time, and this post has multiple tips about how to do that.

Pick a Game Where You Have a High Probability of Winning Your Bet

For the most part, games with even-money payouts have the highest probability of winning.

Examples of games with even-money payouts include:

• Baccarat (45%)
• Blackjack (42%)
• Craps (49%)
• Roulette (48%)

The reason the casino offers these games and still makes a profit is that players only win these even-money bets less than 50% of the time. I’ve included the probability of winning a single bet on each of these games in parenthesis after each game.

Your probability of winning at a gambling machine like a slot machine is usually more along the lines of 35% to 40%, while your probability of winning a hand of video poker is around 45%. (We’re not even going to discuss keno, by the way — the odds are terrible.)

But keep in mind that with gambling machines, a win might be what you would consider a push in one of those other games.

21% of the time, when you play Jacks or Better, you’ll get a pair of jacks, queens, kings, or aces — that has an even-money payout, but it’s done according to x for y odds.

This means that an even money payout just means you get your original bet back — you don’t see any profit.

If you define winning as profiting, you’ll see a profitable hand at video poker more like 24% of the time.

The Concept of Boldness in Casino Gambling

If you have $250 and want to double your money at an online casino, what’s the best way to go about it?

You could bet the entire $250 on a single roll of the dice at the craps table, betting on the pass line.

Or you could bet $125 on 2 rolls of the dice.

Or you could place 5 bets of $50 each.

Which one of these options provides you with the best probability of doubling your money?

The answer to that is based on the rules of probability for multiple events — to calculate the probability that event A AND event B will happen, you multiply the probabilities by each other.

So, if you bet $250 once, you have a 49% probability of doubling your money.

If you bet $125 twice, you have to win both bets to double your money. The probability of that happening is 49% X 49%, or 24%.

If you bet $50 on 5 rolls, you multiply 49% X 49% X 49% X 49% X 49%, or 2.8%.

“Boldness,” in this context, just means placing one large bet instead of several smaller bets.

(Also, be sure to read my post about how much money you should bring to the casino — it applies to online casinos just as much as it does to traditional, land-based casinos.)

How to Win at Online Casinos Every Time Using a Maximum Boldness

The first thing you need to know about using a maximum boldness strategy at an online casino is that you need to turn down the signup bonus. All online casinos offering signup bonuses have something called “wagering requirements” or a “playthrough requirement.”

Here’s how that works:

You sign up for an online casino that offers a 200% deposit bonus of up to $200 on your first deposit. You deposit $100 and get the $200 bonus added to your account, so you have $300 to gamble with.

But the casino doesn’t want you to come in and make a single $300 bet on roulette and cash out. That’s a sure way for an online casino to lose a lot of money.

So, they require you to gamble your deposit and bonus amount a specific number of times before being allowed to cash out.

They also require that you gamble on their slot machine games, although some casinos might allow you to gamble on other games with a discount applied to the amount that you’re wagering.

A common playthrough requirement might be 30X your deposit plus bonus. So, you’d need to make $9000 in wagers before being allowed to cash out.

Even if you bet $300 every hand, you’d need to make 30 bets in a row to meet the wagering requirement.

You can see how this would ensure that the casino doesn’t often lose money on this deal, right?

Games that Don’t Normally Count toward Your Wagering Requirements

Guess which games don’t usually count toward your wagering requirements?

Right — it’s the list of games above — the ones with the highest probability of winning a single wager.

If you want the best odds of walking away from the online casino with a profit, you’ll want to contact customer service beforehand and make sure you’re able to turn down the welcome bonus.

You want to be able to deposit your $200 or $300 and risk it all on a single roll of the dice.

And if you hate craps, you can also try placing a big, even-money bet on a spin of the roulette wheel. I always bet on black, but it doesn’t matter which even-money bet you place. The odds of winning are the same for all of them.

Does This Sound Like a Fun Way to Gamble?

I can’t answer that for you.

Some people might enjoy having a lot of money on a single wager at a single game.

Others might want to spend more time playing at the casino than that.

Here’s what I know, though:

Every casino game has a mathematical edge over the player — usually a small one of between 1% and 5%.

But the way things work with random events is this:

In the short run, anything can happen, although some events are more likely than others.

But in the long run, your results will start to resemble the expected results based on the probability.

Think about this “Law of Large Numbers” this way:

How likely is it that you’ll beat the odds and win your 49% chance on a single roll of the dice in craps?

Now how likely is it that you’ll win 10 wagers in a row?

How about 100 wagers in a row?

The Law of Large Numbers says that the closer you get to the long run, the closer your results should skew toward the mathematically expected results.

You Can’t Really Win at an Online Casino Every Time

Even if you take my maximum boldness strategy and implement it today, you can’t win at the casino every time using that strategy.

In fact, you’ll lose more than half the time.

There’s no getting around this.

Your only hope is to reconsider your definition of winning.

Maybe, for you, winning is playing blackjack for 40 hours on a bankroll of $200 before losing all your money.

Or maybe, winning is betting on a single number at roulette until you’ve hit that number twice in a row.

At any rate, if you’re gambling with money you can afford to lose — “fun money,” you’ll be fine.

Just manage your expectations.

Also, if you try this maximum boldness strategy more than once, you should consider that one long session that’s being played out over the course of your lifetime. You can’t make a living doing this.

Other Gambling Games Offer Opportunities to Get an Edge

Another option is to take up a game like Texas holdem poker, where you can get an edge over the other players at the table by playing better than they do.

I don’t consider this a casino game, but it’s definitely a gambling game.

The difference is in who banks the action.

At the poker table, when you win money, you’re winning it from your opponents at the table.

At the blackjack table, you’re winning money from the casino.

That’s a big difference. Casino blackjack dealers rarely make mistakes, and the odds are rigged in the casino’s favor.

At the poker table, you have just as good a chance at winning as everyone else at the table. If you’re more skilled than your opponents, you can be a long-term winner.

Conclusion

How to win at online casinos every time?

The truth is, you really can’t — not every time.

You can win SOME of the time, though. I suggested one strategy for that in this post.

The best thing you can do is manage your expectations and redefine winning.

Also, on a related note, if you’re interested in learning how to win a million dollars online, check out Michael’s post about that over at Easy.Vegas.